Dubai Property Market Update: Q4 2025 Results and 2026 Outlook

By Mariane Nunes · Founder and CEO, NAHY Real Estate

AED 140.87 billion in sales, 200,000+ transactions, and price growth across all key areas — here is a complete breakdown of Dubai's real estate market performance in Q4 2025 and what to expect in 2026.

Dubai's real estate market closed 2025 with another record-breaking quarter, reinforcing the emirate's position as one of the world's most dynamic and resilient property markets. Here is a comprehensive breakdown of the latest data and what it means for investors in 2026. Q4 2025 Key Figures According to data from CBRE and leading market analysts, Dubai recorded approximately AED 140.87 billion in property sales in Q4 2025 alone — a 20.4% increase year-on-year compared to Q4 2024. For the full year 2025, total transaction volumes exceeded 200,000 deals with a combined value surpassing AED 680 billion , both historic highs for the Dubai market. The citywide weighted-average residential value reached AED 1,689 per sq ft as of December 2025, according to ValuStrat benchmarks, reflecting sustained demand across all segments from affordable to ultra-luxury. Price Per Sq Ft by Area (2025–2026) The following table presents indicative price ranges per square foot across Dubai's key residential areas, based on current market observations for both ready and off-plan projects: Area Price Range (AED / Sq Ft) Segment Palm Jumeirah 3,200 – 4,500+ Ultra-Luxury Downtown Dubai 2,800 – 3,800+ Premium DIFC 3,200 – 4,200 Premium Dubai Marina 1,900 – 2,900 Mid-Premium Business Bay 1,700 – 2,600 Mid-Premium Dubai Hills Estate 1,600 – 2,800 Mid-Premium Dubai Creek Harbour 1,800 – 2,200+ Mid-Market Jumeirah Village Circle (JVC) 900 – 1,400 Affordable Dubai South 800 – 1,200 Affordable Key Market Trends for 2026 Off-plan dominance: Off-plan transactions continue to represent a significant share of total sales, driven by developer payment plans, lower entry prices, and strong capital appreciation potential. Many projects are selling at or above ready-market prices in high-demand areas, reflecting investor confidence in future delivery. Villa premium: Villas and townhouses continue to command a premium over apartments across all price segments, driven by post-pandemic lifestyle preferences for space, privacy, and community living. Communities such as Dubai Hills Estate, Arabian Ranches, and The Valley remain in high demand. Branded residences surge: The branded residences segment — developments co-branded with luxury hospitality or automotive names — is growing rapidly. These properties typically command a 20–30% premium over comparable non-branded units and attract ultra-high-net-worth buyers from Europe, Asia, and the Americas. Rental yields remain strong: Average gross rental yields across Dubai range between 6% and 10% depending on location and property type, significantly outperforming comparable markets in London, Paris, and New York. 2026 Outlook Market analysts and leading agencies including Savills, CBRE, and Knight Frank project continued price growth of 6–10% annually in prime and super-prime segments through 2026, with emerging areas offering higher growth potential. The combination of population growth, continued global wealth migration, Golden Visa demand, and a limited supply pipeline in premium locations supports a constructive outlook for the year ahead. At NAHY Real Estate, our team of international advisors monitors market data daily to provide clients with the most accurate and actionable intelligence. Whether you are entering the market for the first time or expanding an existing portfolio, we are here to guide every step of your investment journey in Dubai.