Will Dubai Property Prices Fall? What the 2026 Numbers Actually Show

By Mariane Nunes · CEO & Founder, NAHY Real Estate

Dubai sale prices are 1.9% higher than a year ago, even with rents down 6.2% in the quarter and transaction volumes down 29%. The data shows a market moving from euphoria into maturity.

No. Dubai sale prices are 1.9% higher than a year ago, even with rents down 6.2% in the quarter and transaction volumes down 29%. The data shows a market moving from euphoria into maturity: more supply, more negotiating power for buyers, and developers betting AED 125 billion on land across the city. Dubai property market 2026 at a glance Indicator Latest data Direction Source Residential rents (Q2 2026 vs Q1) down 6.2% Falling CBRE Sale prices (year on year) up 1.9% Rising CBRE Transactions (Q2 2026) under 37,000, down 29% YoY Slowing CBRE H1 2026 residential sales AED 221.4 billion, 79,281 deals Strong Engel & Völkers Developer land purchases (Jan–Jul) AED 125 billion, 7,981 plots Record Dubai Land Department 2026 price forecast around 10% average, villas up to 17.7% Rising ValuStrat